February 1, 2026
Q4 2025 earnings call transcript
Our analyst
Read of this earnings call — headline is the investment verdict. Research synthesis, not investment advice.
Hold: Q4 beat with revenue of $106.2 million and non-GAAP EBITDA of $13.7 million, while AI revenue reached 25% of sales and grew 30% in 2025 to more than $90 million.
The bull case is accelerating enterprise AI adoption and higher-margin outcome-based delivery, but Q1 revenue guidance falls to $103-$104 million, full-year revenue guidance is wide at $435-$465 million, and the promised margin expansion remains largely unquantified.
- Ai Revenue
- Gain Framework
- Agentic Ai
- Ip Scaled Growth
- Margin Expansion
- Customer Concentration
- Hyperscaler Partnerships
- Vertical Platforms
Near term
- Q1 revenue guidance of $103-$104 million and non-GAAP EBITDA guidance of $12-$13 million; execution must overcome four fewer working days and seasonal weakness.
- Conversion of the stated AI pipeline into production-scale bookings, particularly in technology, fintech, capital markets, and manufacturing.
- Evidence that GAIN, Rosetta, and vertical platforms are increasing gross margin rather than merely lowering customer pricing.
Longer term
- AI revenue growth and the shift from time-and-materials to fixed-price, output-based, and outcome-based contracts could improve utilization, pricing power, and EBITDA margins.
- The company is attempting to move from labor-scaled to IP-scaled growth through MXP, XTDB, Rosetta, and Incarno; recurring license revenue and repeatable deployments are not yet quantified.
- Competitive moat depends on domain expertise, governance, and proprietary implementation assets, but customers may increasingly build internally using hyperscaler and agentic coding tools.
- Partnership-influenced revenue exceeded 19% of 2025 revenue, potentially improving access to enterprise demand while also increasing dependence on hyperscaler ecosystems.
Red flags
- Top-five and top-ten customers rose to 39.7% and 58.5% of revenue, respectively, increasing exposure to large-account budget changes.
- Management declined to provide full-year EBITDA guidance or a precise margin cadence; the roughly 300-basis-point improvement framework remains dependent on productivity, geographic optimization, contract mix, and FX.
- Retail revenue declined 6.9% year over year and CPG & Manufacturing declined 4.3%, showing that AI growth is partly offsetting weakness in legacy verticals rather than uniformly expanding the business.
- Management described a robust pipeline and healthy AI trajectory but did not quantify backlog, conversion timing, platform license revenue, or the share of engagements already using outcome-based economics.
- The company acknowledged that AI productivity gains vary substantially by project type, with orchestration and communication complexity limiting the benefits of pure coding automation.
Forward outlook
| Metric | Period | Range | Basis |
|---|---|---|---|
| revenue | Q1 2026 | 103–104 $million | official guidance |
| ebitda | Q1 2026 | 12–13 $million | official guidance |
| revenue | FY 2026 | 435–465 $million | official guidance |
GDYN Q4 2025 Earnings Call
Recording Transcript
Company Participants
• Leonard Livschitz, Chief Executive Officer and Director
• Anil Doradla, Chief Financial Officer
• Eugene Steinberg, Chief Technology Officer
• Yury Gryzlov, Chief Operating Officer
• Vasily Sizov, Senior Vice President, Head of Americas
• Cary Savas, Director, Branding & Communications
Other Participants
• Maggie Nolan, Analyst, William Blair
• Puneet Jain, Analyst, JP Morgan
• Mayank Tandon, Analyst, Needham
• Bryan Bergin, Analyst, TD Cowen
• Logan Schuh, Analyst, Jefferies
Cary Savas, Director, Branding & Communications:
Good afternoon, everyone. Welcome to Grid Dynamics’ fourth quarter 2025 earnings conference call. I'm
Cary Savas, Director of Branding and Communications. At this time, our participants are in listen-only mode. Joining us on the call today are CEO Leonard Livschitz; CFO, Anil Duradla; CTO, Eugene Steinberg;
COO, Yury Gryzlov; and SVP, Head of Americas, Vasily Sizov. Following the prepared remarks we will open the call to your questions.
Please note that today's conference call is being recorded. Before we begin, I would like to remind everyone that today’s discussion will contain forward-looking statements. This includes our business in a financial outlook and the answers to some of your questions. Such statements are subject to the risks and uncertainty as described in the company's earnings release and other filings with the SEC.
During this call, we will discuss certain non-Gap measures of our performance. Gap to non-Gap financial reconciliations and supplemental financial information are provided in the earnings press release and the 8K filed with the SEC. You can find all the information I just described in the investor relations section of our website.
I now turn the call over to Leonard, our CEO.
####
Leonard Livschitz, Chief Executive Officer:
Thank you, Cary. Good afternoon, everyone, and thank you for joining us today.
I am delighted to share that Grid Dynamics closed 2025 with another landmark performance. In the fourth quarter, we beat Wall Street expectations on both revenue and EBITDA, delivering record revenue of $106.2 million and a strong $13.7 million in non-GAAP EBITDA. Remarkably, we finished the full year with a record revenue of $411.8 million, which is 17.5% growth year-over-year. 2025 Non-GAAP
EBITDA was $53.8 million. In Q4, our top three customers included two global technology companies and the largest payment technology company. All of them are leaders in the AI space. Our performance is a result of our AI expertise, the strength of our accelerators, and client domain knowledge. In Q4, our
AI revenue grew 9% over Q3 and now represents 25% of our overall revenue. For the full 2025, our AI revenue reached over $90 million, representing a 30% year-over-year growth. In 2026, we anticipate continued AI revenue growth.
There are three key factors driving our bullish outlook on AI.
First, AI coding agents and automation significantly tilt enterprises’ build-versus-buy calculus toward
'build' at a lower cost. This shift aligns with Grid Dynamics' core strength in building solutions for
Fortune 1000 companies, leveraging specialized talent and intellectual property.
Second, our efforts with GAIN are resulting in a richer blend of outcome and output-based engagements. Crucially, these new engagements enable us to decouple pricing from effort. We have successfully deployed software platforms across multiple industry verticals. Our AI engagements now strategically combine the strength of our human capital with the value of our platform assets.The market reception for these software platforms has been strong, with customers demonstrating a clear willingness to pay. This positions us well to grow recurring revenue, deepen customer retention, and extend the duration of our engagements. Grid Dynamics engagement structures will contribute to our
2026 margin expansion.
Third, the speed of AI transformation is not uniform across industry verticals. While we continue to generate revenue from the Retail and CPG verticals, we prioritize investments in the areas of
Technology, Financial Services, and Manufacturing, where we see significant opportunities for customized, auditable, production-grade Agentic AI platforms.
Let me talk about Grid Dynamics’ vertical strengths.
Enterprises are learning that deploying AI at scale requires deep domain expertise — you cannot build an effective agentic system for a production floor without understanding manufacturing, and you cannot build one for a global payments network without understanding the compliance architecture.
Such expertise is what we have been building, vertical by vertical, for nearly two decades. Now we are codifying it into platforms. Our Merchandising Experience Platform (MXP) brings our expertise to marketplaces and digital commerce. While XTDB, our bitemporal data platform, helps financial clients, specifically in capital markets, with auditability and other compliance challenges. Platforms unlock
IP-driven, outcome-based engagements — and that is how Grid Dynamics moves from billing for effort to billing for value.
Now let’s talk about Partnerships.
Our partner-influenced revenue reached a significant milestone in 2025, exceeding 19% of our total revenue. Such significant growth underscores our mission to keep Grid Dynamics at the forefront of modern enterprise infrastructure. We have strengthened our relationships with all hyperscalers through targeted investments in Agentic platform capabilities, earning specialized badges and building new joint solutions. Notably, in December we signed a strategic-collaboration agreement with AWS for
Data Foundations and AI. Our premier partnership enables Grid Dynamics to receive funding from AWS to support AI Enterprise initiatives. Our collaboration with NVIDIA on Omniverse-based solutions is enabling us to deliver high-fidelity, industrial-grade digital twins that are essential for our Physical AI expansion.
In the fourth quarter, our vertical execution is best illustrated by several notable projects:
Fintech Transformation
We partnered with a global financial leader to launch a proprietary generative
AI agent supporting more than 10,000 financial advisors. This interactive experience replaces static policies with personalized guidance and is projected to increase productivity by ~20%.
TMT Analytics
For a global technology enterprise, we modernized a legacy mobility application into a scalable analytics platform, providing centralized visibility into global travel activity and spend. The platform has materially improved usability, increased feature velocity, and reduced stakeholder coordination overhead.
Dispute Management
We developed a comprehensive dispute management solution for a leading financial services firm. By integrating generative AI, the platform streamlines chargeback challenges, increasing win rates and reducing operational overhead.
Financial Governance
At a leading US-based global bank, we are building a global agent runtime and
AI orchestration platform, enabling business-focused agents to automate complex workflows, starting with successful automation in internal compliance. We also deployed AI-driven executive insight capabilities that provide leadership with consolidated global operational summaries.
With that, let me turn the call over to Eugene Steinberg, our CTO who will talk about our AI capabilities, how we are upskilling our engineering workforce, and how we are using it to improve our internal operations.
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Eugene Steinberg, Chief Technology Officer:
Thank you, Leonard. Good afternoon, everyone.
We're actively executing across three horizons: AI-First Engineering, Agentic Enterprise, and Physical AI.
In Q4, we shipped across all three — and these foundations position our AI business for 2026.
Horizon One
AI-First Engineering
Horizon One is the core of our current business — the engineering work that serves the majority of our clients today. We are accelerating productivity across the organization through AI-first native tooling and investing decisively in the continuous upskilling of our engineers.
Enterprises are no longer debating the merits of adopting AI for software development, but rather how to do it without losing control of quality, security, and institutional knowledge. It is in this context that we launched Rosetta, our AI-native software development framework. Rosetta is part of our GAIN initiative and provides a governance layer for AI coding agents. Rosetta automates context setup, enforces consistent workflows, and manages engineering knowledge at both the engineer and organization level. It operates within the client's own security perimeter and works across all major coding platforms. Developers get consistent, project-aware agent behavior from day one. Engineering leaders get centralized governance and visibility across the entire agent footprint.
With Rosetta, clients benefit from decades of institutional expertise seamlessly embedded into their engineering workflows. We have several engagements underway and are scaling GAIN as the standard delivery backbone across all engagements in 2026.
Grid Dynamics operations is client zero for our AI solutions. Cerebra, our internally developed agentic platform launched in Q3, is built on Google's AI stack — Gemini Enterprise, ADK, and A2A. Within Grid
Dynamics, Cerebra is being used by our sales, recruitment, and knowledge management organizations
— automating proposal development, technical pre-screening, and research at scale.
Clients adopt faster when the platform has already been stress-tested in production. As AI revenues ramp, we expect this model to drive both revenue growth and margin expansion.
Horizon Two
Agentic Enterprise
Horizon Two is where we are expanding and investing by leveraging our engineering depth to enterprise transformation at scale.
The agentic era is reshaping the economics of software delivery. AI-native development tools are lowering the overall costs of building and deploying software, placing pressure on systems integration and configuration programs. At the same time, client expectations are rising — programs previously too expensive or too slow to justify are becoming feasible. Enterprises are thinking bigger and moving faster — taking on significantly larger mandates. That means moving away from SI-heavy engagements and toward original in-house engineering.
That rotation plays directly to our strengths. In the past decade, enterprises have increasingly become dependent on system integration — assembling SaaS ecosystems, configuring cloud services, and stitching together vendor products. In the agentic era, this changes fundamentally. Production
deployments require bespoke engineering
purpose-built agent workflows, domain-specific data and knowledge layers, distributed system and platform engineering.
Grid Dynamics is well known for its engineering capabilities and proprietary IP at leading global enterprises. The agentic era rewards builders — and that is where we have invested.
Our go-to-market runs two tracks. For Tier 1 enterprise clients, we architect and co-develop custom, verticalized AI platforms built around their specific architecture, governance, and compliance requirements. For Tier 2 mid-market clients, we integrate hyperscaler platforms with Grid Dynamics verticalized components on top — optimizing time-to-value and overall cost. Both tracks are expanding.
We have also established a partnership with Temporal through their JumpStart program. This initiative positions us as technology consultants for Temporal's customers — embedded in critical architectural decisions from the outset. This partnership has generated multiple new engagements across financial services, enterprise software, and industrial sectors.
The proof points are concrete. A notable example is our work with one of the world’s largest payment networks, where we are leading a broad Agentic AI program. We have developed RAG-as-a-Service across 17 applications, a universal enterprise assistant with agent-to-agent communication, and centralized governance and evaluation. Our efforts have led to an approximate 40% reduction in build time and 60% reduction in ongoing maintenance effort. With the platform deployed across 30,000 employees, the impact has been measurable. Specialized groups are seeing up to 15% productivity improvement — driven by faster information access and reduced manual research.
At a leading global CPG company, we developed over 20 enterprise-ready AI agents through a unified agent factory platform. This delivered 15% productivity improvement across enterprise users.
These deployments confirm a pattern we see consistently: once AI capabilities move fully into production, clients realize approximately 15% productivity gains — tangible operating leverage at enterprise scale.
We are leveraging our deep domain expertise to build vertical AI platforms — codifying patterns into structured, productized offerings. Our initial solutions have real traction and are generating revenue with enterprise clients.
MXP, our merchandising and product discovery platform, illustrates this progression most clearly — it began as search engineering expertise, evolved into a reusable accelerator, and in 2025 crossed into license revenue with a growing customer base across North America, Europe, and Latin America. Its deployment for a leading European luxury retailer delivered a 7% total revenue uplift and a 50% reduction in merchandising team workload — while handling a 25% year-over-year surge in peak holiday traffic without disruption.
XTDB is our platform designed for the financial industry — a bitemporal database built specifically for regulated financial environments. As financial institutions deploy AI agents, regulators require full point-in-time reconstruction of any decision. Banks deploying AI agents for trade processing, compliance, or investigations need systems that can capture precise information related to trading activities. XTDB addresses that with full auditability across both business time and system time. The platform has been adopted at several global banks, and in Q4 we shipped a significant new version extending its capabilities for multi-entity, data-mesh environments. It is this kind of deep infrastructure IP that differentiates our financial services practice from generic AI consulting.
Our engineers no longer arrive as individual contributors — they arrive backed by codified IP: Rosetta,
MXP, XTDB, and documented patterns from dozens of deployments. The client gets immediate expert deployment, not a learning curve.
Horizon Three
Physical AI
Horizon Three is our forward-looking investment in Physical AI — bringing the same AI engineering depth we apply in software to industrial and manufacturing environments.
Our flagship platform here is Incarno, a software platform that supports the robotics industry. Incarno dramatically compresses the time required to program robots for complex manufacturing tasks, enabling robots to handle high-variability, physically demanding work that conventional automation cannot address.
In partnership with SmartRay, a leader in industrial 3D vision sensors, we developed and deployed the
Incarno AI module for robotic weld inspection. Weld inspection is demanding — quality requirements are stringent, and variability in materials and geometry makes rule-based automation unreliable. The
result
higher inspection consistency, improved quality assurance, and scalable automation in environments where precision is non-negotiable.
At a Fortune 10 manufacturer, we automated the conversion of CAD files to CNC machine instructions — a workflow that previously took five days now completes in hours. Greater than ninety percent cycle time reduction, validated in production. We will have more to share as these programs scale.
As we look ahead, we will build on our foundations. We are rapidly and deliberately scaling toward a multi-industry, AI-led business transformation. GAIN and Rosetta codify our engineering judgment so it scales beyond individual engineers. MXP shows that our IP can generate revenue as software, not just as services. XTDB gives us a technically differentiated entry into Finance. Incarno opens doors in manufacturing. And our agentic practice is shifting from bespoke delivery to structured vertical offerings where our accelerators compress time-to-value and our contracts increasingly capture outcomes.
We are moving from labor-scaled growth to IP-scaled growth — and that transition defines our 2026 execution.
With that, let me turn it over to Anil.
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Anil Doradla, Chief Financial Officer
Thanks, Eugene. Good afternoon everyone.
We recorded the fourth quarter revenues of $106.2 million, slightly above the midpoint of our guidance range of $105.0 million to $107.0 million. This represents a sequential growth rate of 1.9% and year-over-year growth of 5.9%. There were 30 bps and 22 bps of FX headwinds on a sequential and year-over-year basis respectively.
Non-GAAP EBITDA was $13.7 million, or 12.9% of revenue and was at the higher end of our $13.0 million to $14 million guidance range. In the fourth quarter there was a negative impact from FX fluctuations on a year-over-year basis. We are exposed to a currency basket across Europe, Latin America, and
India. While we utilize both natural hedges and an active hedging program, the net year-over-year impact on our EBITDA was a headwind of approximately $(1.5) million. On a sequential basis there was a tailwind of approximately $160K to our EBITDA as the dollar strengthened relative to the British
Pound and Euro.
Looking at performance of our verticals
Retail remained our largest vertical, contributing 28.7% of total revenues in the fourth quarter of 2025.
While revenues in this vertical increased by 5.3% on a sequential basis, there was a decline of 6.9% on a year-over-year basis. The sequential increase was broad-based across our retail customer base.
TMT, our second-largest vertical, accounted for 28.3% of total revenues for the quarter. The vertical delivered strong results, with growth of 5.3% on a sequential basis and a 27.5% increase on a year-over-year basis. The strong year-over-year growth was primarily driven by our top two technology customers.
The Finance vertical accounted for 22.9% of total revenues in the quarter, growing 5.0% on a year-over-year basis. This growth was primarily driven by increased demand from our large fintech customer and large banks.
Turning to the remaining verticals
CPG & Manufacturing represented 10.2% of our fourth quarter revenues. This vertical remained stable in absolute dollars sequentially, but declined 4.3% on a year-over-year basis. The year-over-year decline was largely due to decline at some of our automotive customers and this was partially offset by our CPG customers. The Other vertical contributed 7.3% of fourth quarter revenues. This remained flat on a dollar basis relative to the third quarter and grew by 8.4% on a year-over-year basis. The year-over-year growth was primarily from our meal-kit client. And finally Healthcare and Pharma contributed to 2.6% of our fourth quarter revenues.
We ended the fourth quarter with a total headcount of 4,961 slightly down from 4,971 employees in the third quarter of 2025 and up from 4,730 in the fourth quarter of 2024. Although our total headcount was down on a sequential basis, our billable headcount increased meaningfully. We continue to rationalize our overall headcount as we align our skill sets and geographic mix.
At the end of the fourth quarter of 2025, our total US headcount was 357, or 7.2% of the company’s total headcount versus 7.4% in the year ago quarter. Our non-US headcount, located in Europe, Americas and
India was 4,604, or 92.8%.
In the fourth quarter, Revenues from our top 5 and top 10 customers were 39.7% and 58.5%, respectively, versus 35.6% and 55.8% in the same period a year ago, respectively.
Moving to the income statement, Our GAAP gross profit during the quarter was $36.1 million, or 34.0%, compared to $34.7 million or 33.3% in the third quarter of 2025 and $37.0 million, or 36.9% in the year ago quarter. On a non-GAAP basis, our gross profit was $36.6 million or 34.5% compared to $35.2 million or 33.8% in the third quarter of 2025 and $37.6 million or 37.5% in the year ago quarter. On a year-over-year basis, the decline in the gross margin was from a combination of FX headwinds and greater mix of UK-based headcount from our acquisition of JUXT.
Non-GAAP EBITDA during the fourth quarter that excluded interest income/expense, provision for income taxes, depreciation and amortization, stock-based compensation, restructuring, expenses related to the geographic reorganization, and transaction and other related costs was $13.7 million, or
12.9% of revenues versus $12.7 million or 12.2% of revenues in the third quarter of 2025, and was down from $15.6 million or 15.6%, in the year ago quarter. The sequential increase in EBITDA-margin was from a combination of higher gross margins and FX tailwinds. On a year-over-year basis, the decline in
EBITDA margins was largely due to a combination of lower gross margins and FX headwinds.
Our GAAP net income in the fourth quarter was $0.3 million or break even per share, based on a diluted share count of 86.4 million shares, compared to the third quarter net income of $1.2 million or $0.01 per share, based on a diluted share count of 85.8 million and net income of $4.5 million or $0.05 per share based on 83.8 million diluted shares in the year ago quarter.
On a non-GAAP basis, in the fourth quarter our non-GAAP net income was $8.7 million, or $0.10 per share based on 86.4 million diluted shares, compared to the third quarter non-GAAP net income of $8.2 million or $0.09 per share based on 85.8 million diluted shares and $10.3 million or $0.12 per share based on 83.8 million diluted shares in the year ago quarter.
On December 31, 2025, our cash and cash equivalents totaled $342.1 million, up from $338.6 million on
September 30, 2025.
M&A continues to take priority in our capital allocation strategy. We are committed to augmenting our organic business with acquisitions that strategically enhance our capabilities, geographic presence, and industry verticals.
Coming to the first quarter guidance, we expect revenues to be in the range of $103 to $104 million. We expect our first quarter non-GAAP EBITDA to be in the range of $12 million to $13 million. For Q1 2026, we expect our basic share count to be in the range of 85 to 86 million and our diluted share count to be in the range of 87 to 88 million.
For the full year 2026, we are bullish in our outlook. We expect revenues to be in the range of $435 million to $465 million.
That concludes my prepared remarks. We are now ready to take questions.
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Questions and Answers
Cary Savas, Director, Branding & Communications:
Thank you, Anil. As we go into the Q&A session of this call, I will first announce your name. At that point, please unmute yourself and turn on your camera. The first question comes from Maggie Nolan of
William Blair.
Maggie Nolan, Analyst, William Blair:
Hi, thank you. So you've had impressive growth in AI revenue, and you're above 90 million for 2025. So
I'm wondering if projects are moving into production at scale, and then what is the nature of these projects? And how is the demand among customers?
Leonard Livschitz, Chief Executive Officer:
Thank you, Maggie. Thank you for your kind words. Well, we extensively discussed in various forums what AI represents for Grid Dynamics and what is the opportunity for us going forward.
Fundamentally, what makes a big difference for Grid Dynamics for 2026 on is that we're not only moving from the small development project to full-scale implementation, but also we introduced our platforms, which has been noted during this particular time, and that kind of scales the confidence with the clients to give us more of the solutions where we represent our engineers combined with our own tools as a new way to building the solution faster and more affordable for the clients. Perhaps some words from Eugene.
Eugene Steinberg, Chief Technology Officer:
Yes, it's a great question. And there are two main zones which are most exciting for me. One is,
AI-powered customer experience. The reason behind that is that this is the zone where the impact from search, personalization, agentic commerce is very obvious and measurable by our clients. And this is where clients see ROIs in weeks, not in months or years. And that allows us to expand those accounts very, very quickly based on this successes, which we see in this domain.
Second is Enterprise AI platforms, not as visible as front-end work or AI-powered customer experiences. But this is a foundational layer, which helps your companies to organize their data, build
AI agent factories on top of this data, and then go into developing business agents on top of those platforms.
And what we see in our projects is
as those platforms mature and go to production, clients start to scale very, very quickly, building AI agents, and we are helping them to develop those AI agents, and they are going from 1 to 10 to 20 of those specific customer-facing virtualized agents very, very quickly.
So this expands our work and allows us to move very, very quickly.
Maggie Nolan, Analyst, William Blair:
Great. Thank you! And then anything else you would comment on as you move into 2026, kind of, how you expect the trend to evolve in a way that you can maybe tie that back to the numbers or some of your margin expansion goals you’ve mentioned?
Leonard Livschitz, Chief Executive Officer:
Yes, so we bombarded you with a bunch of names during this press release, right? So we were talking about, you know, the merchandising experience platform. We're talking about bitemporal database, we're talking about Incarno robotics AI platform. Subsequent growth of the Rosetta, its automation within the GAIN model, the platform, again, Cerebra, which is kind of, Cerebra, which picks up a lot of internal processes, bringing Grid Dynamics as a client zero for implementations.
What is it all about? Those are not just buzzwords. It's just a way to understand for our clients that there may be a little bit more scarcity on the market of clearness what to do. But when you work with
Grid Dynamics, we represent basically three key functions. First, we are domain consultants.
So we understand what the customer problems are, and we are tailoring the solutions with that as an important contribution for Grid Dynamics as a mix between Grid Dynamics trained engineers, the standard tools and platform from the market, and customized tools which we bring based on our platform and development.
The combination of the three leads to a few things. First of all, it's a shorter time to implementation for our clients, and second, it moves away from our traditional talent material offering, where we're putting together a contribution based on the client outcomes, which ultimately leads not only for them to gain momentum and have a better financial return, but a high value add for the margin expansion for Grid Dynamics. Those are three elements.
Maggie Nolan, Analyst, William Blair:
Thank you. Nice quarter.
Leonard Livschitz, Chief Executive Officer:
Thank you.
Cary Savas, Director, Branding & Communications:
Thank you, Maggie. The next question comes from Bryan Bergin of TD Cowen. Go ahead, Bryan.
Bryan Bergin, Analyst, TD Cowen:
Hi guys, good to see you. Thanks for taking the questions here. The first one I'll ask you at a high level.
So just with everything that's going on in the market, services, software-based pressure, the whole kind of SaaS apocalypse fears that are out there. I want to kind of sanity check it with you first.
Based on what you're seeing in your client conversations and what they're doing in contracting, what, like, what's your perspective as it relates to enterprises increasing their custom build preference versus buy, you know, the platform solutions, and if your clients are demonstrating a rising preference for custom builds. What are, like, the implications for Grid Dynamics?
Leonard Livschitz, Chief Executive Officer:
Very good. So I will start, and then I'll have Vasily to give you a few examples, because there's nothing better than to show what exactly happened. So from the high-level perspective, obviously, we recognize that there is a very strong expectation that the cost of implementation will go down. Then people start throwing some comments.
There is a decline of SaaS software companies or offerings. There's a decline of IT services needs because everything is going to magically appear. Well, all these statements are not false. I mean, there are more and more tools available on the market. But what's the custom part is, is that creation of the tools and solutions, having our internal platforms makes Grid Dynamics much more efficient to really customize solutions for the individual clients and tasks. And the reason we're doing this is because it's very nice from a high-level perspective to look at these old wonderful models, but it's experimentation.
Going to production is quite pricey. And many of the clients are hesitant to throw a lot of money without a clear outcome. And that's where Grid Dynamics comes in with a combination of people, processes, and tools. And that's how we believe that even though there is an overall look, that overreaching look that there are, potentially, some decline of the needs. In a company like Grid
Dynamics, needs is actually growing, and I will have Vasily to bring some examples.
Vasily Sizov, Senior Vice President, Head of Americas:
Sure. Thank you for the question, Brian. You were right on point. We definitely see increased demands for custom-built software. And if in the past the customers were looking into improvements or enhancing their core platforms, core applications, right now, given the overall kind of cost of development is getting reduced by utilizing AI native environment and SDLC.
Companies like Grid Dynamics definitely benefit from this trend by getting involved into implementations and rebuilding of the typically SaaS, I would say, applications as a custom-built and more custom-tailored solutions for end customers. Things like HR systems or travel dashboards and etc, which traditionally were outside of the investment areas for the companies, for the clients.
Bryan Bergin, Analyst, TD Cowen:
Okay, okay, that's helpful. Another follow-up, I'll kind of… I'm gonna dig in on the growth outlook for the year and unpack it a bit. You know, Anil, you made a comment, you're bullish in your outlook. Just to clarify that comment, are you assuming anything meaningfully changes in the underlying demand backdrop to hit any of these targets?
And help us just kind of bridge the 1Q performance here. Is there Bill Day dynamics or anything seasonal in the first quarter, as you think about that first quarter, implied growth rate relative to what you're talking about for the year?
Anil Doradla, Chief Financial Officer:
Yeah, Brian, Q1 is a very simple story here. It's the seasonality, and also in our time and materials business—T&M—there were fewer working days relative to Q4. So that's it's very simple.
Now, you're absolutely right. We are positive on how we're looking at the full year. There are two
components of it
One is that some of the recent trends in our pipeline growth, second thing is, all the gentlemen that have spoken about on our AI trends, right? I'll let them build up on that.
But, where we are today, how we look at the year, we feel more positive. And the final thing is that if you look at the range I've provided, it's a little wider, right? Relative to last year, you know, we made it a little wider because we understand that during the course of the year, there’s some positives, there’s not so positives, so we've kept it a healthy range.
Leonard Livschitz, Chief Executive Officer:
So let's be more specific, right? So I think Anil answered very simple question about Q1. It's a very substantial reduction of the working days - it's four. So it's not something, like, normally happens in a traditional year. But there is a bullish outlook for a very simple reason.
The pace of adoption of AI solutions and AI applications by Grid Dynamics customers clearly outpaces the decline of maybe a little bit more, you know, edged retail businesses. It happens simultaneously.
And it's no secret, because if you look at the rate of growth of our client verticals, you can see two notable changes. It's the Tech and more importantly, the financial vertical, which goes specifically into the fintech and capital markets, which is quite new and growing for us. So when we look at the total
equation
the rate of growth in AI-related businesses, the contribution from our partnerships, they improved our performance in terms of the new type of agreements: fixed bids, performance-based, other elements. And on the backside, some of the depreciation of more of the traditional aged businesses we've been there for years. We came up with a bullish but conservative outlook.
And what's the conservative part of that? I think it's very important to understand. We've learned a little bit our lesson from 2025, right? I mean, we actually believe we're going to be better than mid-point, but what it means for us? It means for us that in addition to all the facts, we need to understand the revenue dollars which are coming with the customers.
And as the business grows, as you know very well, we also deploy our engineering talent across the globe, you know, the Follow the Sun strategy. And different regions have different, you know, price points and different elements of the business. So as we continue to scale our business, we want to make sure that early on, especially when we're introducing this—a little bit variability of Q1—we do not get you guys question, are we sane or not? We are very sane.
Bryan Bergin, Analyst, TD Cowen:
All right, that's clear. Thank you, guys.
Leonard Livschitz, Chief Executive Officer:
Thank you, Brian.
Cary Savas, Director, Branding & Communications:
Thank you, Brian. The next question comes from Puneet Jain of JP. Morgan. Go ahead, Puneet.
Puneet Jain, Analyst, JP Morgan:
Hey, thanks for taking my question. So, given, like, the recent news flow around Anthropic Claude, are you seeing, like, any changes in your client behavior, increased urgency among your clients to embrace
AI?
And second, I know like you talked about the GAIN framework, and I know it's built on proprietary as well as third-party tools. So, to…like all these developments, like the evolution of AI, ecosystem, does that raise the bar on what GAIN can do for your clients in terms of productivity savings?
Leonard Livschitz, Chief Executive Officer:
Very good. Well, let's start with, again, Vasily, as the last time to give a little bit more of the multi-layer approach, and then from the technology perspective, I think Eugene can comment as well.
Vasily Sizov, Senior Vice President, Head of Americas:
So maybe let me start with the GAIN framework. So, as you know, we announced it in the middle of
2025, and during the 6 months of 2025, we were rapidly developing this framework and running pilot implementations with our customers. As you heard in the prepared remarks, we implemented a series of software assets which became now the part of this platform, which we are offering to our customers.
So, I would say in 2026, we see…this will be the year of rapid adoption of the GAIN platform across our customers, and in fact, it became the de facto standard approach which we use for the outcome and output-based engagements. Essentially, decoupling, you know, billable headcount from the revenue growth. So we definitely see performance improvements. We transfer some of that to our customers, and some of that contributes to our improved profitability.
Eugene Steinberg, Chief Technology Officer:
Yes. And when it comes to the actual improvements which we are seeing from agentic coding assistants and Claude and Cursor and all the kind of others. Of course, many of our customers are embracing it, and we are bringing those capabilities with them together with Rosetta, which is a layer on top of it.
We are not competing with those agentic assistants on the foundational layer, but we are making them better, stronger, and embed our own institutional knowledge in those assistants with every engagement. And of course, the impact of that very much depends on the actual nature of a project. So if you are going into greenfield POC kind of solution, your gains are immense like, 10, 15 X compared to traditional waste, because you are creating in an unconstrained environment, doing whatever you want.
If you are working in a brownfield project with still well-defined goals: technology modernization, migration, you still have a very strong improvements because the agents are doing things much faster for you. And you see maybe 2, 3 X improvements in the performance of the teams.
However, when you're coming to the engagement and environments, there the majority of the complexity is in their communication or orchestration. This has been, it's much more challenging to realize where improvements from pure coding and creation of artifacts. It all varies very much depending on the portfolio of your solutions.
Yury Gryzlov, Chief Operating Officer:
Just quickly to add to what Eugene and Vasily mentioned, I think it's very important, and we mentioned several times in our prepared remarks as well. I think this transition from T&M-based approach to outcome-based and output-based, that's… it's very important to emphasize, because this is definitely real. We see that a lot. It happened, you know, during 2025 and in transition to 2026.
And we see that this year we will see much more of those, many more of those engagements going forward. And that's why, as Vasily and Eugene mentioned, our GAIN framework, together with verticalized solutions and the platforms that we are leveraging, that will be very, very important this year.
Puneet Jain, Analyst, JP Morgan:
Okay, got it. And let me ask, like, follow-up to Brian's question on the rest of the year beyond Q1. So, based on our math, like, it seems like the full year guidance at its mid-point implies like five, five and a half percent sequential growth beyond Q1.
So, can you disaggregate that, like, what drives that growth, like, in terms of, like, whether it's like you talked about, like, earlier, like the pipeline, billing days and all that. Can you talk about, like, what drives that 5, 5.5% sequential growth beyond Q1 to get to the midpoint of full-year number?
Leonard Livschitz, Chief Executive Officer:
I'll make a few comments, then of course, we'll have Anil to back it up with the numbers. As I mentioned to Brian, we took very seriously to make sure that we are reasonable but conservative in our (Technical Difficulty/ Glitch).
Okay, the pipeline is very robust. And the pipeline which we have right now, not only robust, but it shows a quiet opportunity with AI-related products and projects across multiple verticals and multiple clients. There is always a seasonality, right? So Q2 is better than Q1, and Q3 is better than Q2. And then
Q4 may have some additional, you know, furloughs like it happened in Q4 last year, and all this stuff.
But we kind of desegregate the seasonality and behavior from the adoption of AI. And we look at our pipeline as it stands today. So there's a very little assumption, Puneet, that there's going to be some enormous number of white swans or some Hail Mary, or something, extraordinarily great happens during the course of the year. Obviously, not everything’s on the books today, but the majority is. And we have a very nice number of our own tools, accelerators, and platforms, which are going to continue to roll out during the year.
So, to summarize it, we are not hoping for the numbers. We have a strong pipeline to AI-related projects, particularly in the technology and fintech space, there’s the growth in manufacturing, which is coming quite robustly as well. And we see that adoption, as again, Brian asked before of the custom developed solution on a combination of the, you know, deployed engineers and training program, and our internal tooling brings us much higher acceleration.
So the same people, the same trained capacity of the people can have several turns on the execution during the year. That's kind of the high-level, but very clear understanding of what does that pipeline mean. But maybe Anil will back it up with some numbers.
Anil Doradla, Chief Financial Officer:
Yeah, look, I think the key thing is what Leonard said, right? We look at the revenues from a bottoms up and top down. And what we have as we go from 25 to 26 transition is this AI factor. And when we looked at that AI revenue kind of bottoms up top down and look at the trajectory. I wish I could give a number, but it's a very healthy number as we go into 26. That is our foundation for our modeling in 26.
Now, when you look at the variations we said, right, we have this…wider variations this year, we understand, you know, in the course of the year, things can happen. So as you go from the high end to the low end, we bake in some level of conservativeness with some of our clients, especially on the larger side, depending upon how we look at the business today.
But, again, this is top-down bottoms up, with some conservativeness, but in 26, the fundamental difference is that we've got this AI trajectory, and look at, as Leonard pointed out, look at the fastest
growing segments
TMT and financial verticals. That's the key.
Leonard Livschitz, Chief Executive Officer:
So just again, to put another number, Puneet, because I think it's important. I'll give you a little bit of a prequel, right? So mathematically, it does look a little bit aggressive. But realistically, it's a very unusual quarter to report, right? It's the year-end. So we are in March. So you can suspect that we probably know numbers in Q1 a little bit better than typically when we present our earnings data a few,
2-3 weeks earlier.
So what happened is we see healthy March. And the impact of this seasonality and less of the working days is kind of behind us. So the rate of growth, which you see, is based on the lower performance of the first, let's say, two months of the quarter. As I was joking, it would be lovely to have a Q2 four months. Then you can throw all this stuff in the first two months, and you have a really, really healthy quarter. So the rate of growth from March on is more, I would say, traditional, which makes us more comfortable with providing the guidance like we are.
Puneet Jain, Analyst, JP Morgan:
No, appreciate it. Thank you.
Leonard Livschitz, Chief Executive Officer:
Thank you.
Cary Savas, Director, Branding & Communications:
Thank you, Puneet. The next questions come from Mayank Tandon of Needham. Go ahead, Mayank.
Mayank Tandon, Analyst, Needham & Company:
Great. Thank you. Good evening. Anil, you gave guidance on EBITDA for the first quarter, but not for the full year. So I just wanted to check with you. Should we expect the same sort of pattern as you mentioned on revenue growth in terms of margin expansion? And do you have any sort of framework on how to think about what the levers are for margins going forward?
Anil Doradla, Chief Financial Officer:
Yeah, thanks for that question, Mayank. So, as you know, last quarter we talked about margin expansion in 2026, right? Q4 to Q. 4. We talked about 300 bps. Within the company, there's several
efforts
Right for internal productivity, right from geographic optimization, where we're working very diligently on our margin expansion. And that's largely driven by the change of our workforce over the last 3-4 years, which you all know about. Along with that, we have investments, too.
Eugene is talking… Eugene is doing some amazing work with a number of platforms he's rolling out on
AI. So it's the balance between the two. So if you look at our trajectory, margin expansion, margin continuation is what we are modeling. As the revenue picks up, obviously, you have a little bit more positive leverage there on the EBITDA margins, but the cadence at which these things will play out, you will see in the course of the year, I just don't want to give that level of specificity at this point, but the trajectory should be moving upwards and in line with what we had promised last quarter.
Leonard Livschitz, Chief Executive Officer:
And of course, it's not a constant currency situation. So you may want to comment on that.
Anil Doradla, Chief Financial Officer:
So, the other important thing everyone should understand is that in, you know, 25 versus 24, there was a big headwind on FX. So if I look at the cost and revenue on a net basis, that was close to 8 million dollars overall for me, you know, year to year, if I look at the last year of 24 and compare to what happened on 25. So we're working through that. That's another thing that we're working through.
Leonard Livschitz, Chief Executive Officer:
So, to summarize it, I give you guidance direction of 3% improvement plus. It still stays. I hope we can do better than that. There is a lot of activities happening, but we're not going to pull the plug and show artificially some numbers related to less investment into agentic AI or the physical robotics AI.
These elements are vital for our business, but operational efficiency, the contract efficiency, which we discussed with AI, and also distributing workforce more efficiently around the globe—all the three elements—but the driver is fundamentally AI efficiency.
That's really the number one of three. And I think Yuri wanted to comment.
Yury Gryzlov, Chief Operating Officer:
Just wanted to comment on the same, pretty much along the same lines as I mentioned right about fixed price engagements, right? And the outcome-based engagements that obviously come typically at, you know, with a higher margin. So that's why it's also it's part of this program as well. And this year again it will be quite a substantial one.
Mayank Tandon, Analyst, Needham & Company:
Got it. And then, just very quickly, I wanted to ask about your comments around M&A, Anil. You mentioned that, you know, obviously, you have a really good balance sheet, and you have the work just to go out and do acquisitions. Are you finding that with the recent market volatility multiples have come down, are expectations a little bit more realistic for some of the potential targets that you might have had in mind?
Anil Doradla, Chief Financial Officer:
Yeah, somehow the private companies…they received the memo a little later than the public companies. So the memo they finally got, but it took a little time. We are having a good pipeline. Look, we've said that, but I think the number of exclusivities that we have today is as high as it's ever been.
It's not done till it's done. When it comes to evaluation, things have come in.
They're better than what it was six months or 10 months ago, but…It's still a back-and-forth. Again,
Mayank, the most important thing, strategic focus, strategic fit to what we're doing, especially in the AI world that we're entering, that’s our bar and standards are very high, and we're just not going to buy because we have to buy it. We're going to do it if it's strategically fitting.
Leonard Livschitz, Chief Executive Officer:
Yeah, I think what Anil didn't tell you, but it's very obvious. We're not buying revenue. This is very, very clear. The relationship we got into the exclusivity with several of the targets. They are very specific in their fashion to address two things. One is the technology components, which we need to add. And the second one is the knowledge of the verticals we would like to be strongly at. So it's not about the all, you know, one size fits all. It's not about just globbing, you know, swallowing a big company and report a great number. Because, usually, you know, it doesn't happen like this, but it's a very specific technology plus verticals, and it seems as the message you mentioned coming from the somebody who tells them, okay, now it’s time to tame their expectations. I think we're going to be in a better shape because last year it was dissatisfactory.
Mayank Tandon, Analyst, Needham & Company:
Great. Thank you so much.
Leonard Livschitz, Chief Executive Officer:
Thank you, Mayank.
Cary Savas, Director, Branding & Communications:
Thank you, Mayank. The next question comes from Logan Schuh of Jefferies. Go ahead, Logan.
Logan Schuh, Analyst, Jefferies:
Hi guys, um, my question revolves around your discussion of, kind of, moving from labor-scaled IP to or labor-scaled growth to IP-scaled growth. And kind of the shift from time and materials to outcome-based. I'm just wondering what kind of the implications that have on your plans for hiring in
2026 and beyond?
And then also, where do you think the business model evolves to over the longer term? I mean, we have some competitors going all in on kind of subscription-based agentic delivery, some different competitors saying no, you know, we don't see it fundamentally changing. I was just wondering where you guys kind of landed on that spectrum?
Leonard Livschitz, Chief Executive Officer:
Okay, so Logan, I will just say a couple of words. But I think this is a good question for a round table.
It's almost like if…I feel like…as you know, fire chat, not an earnings call, because there are a lot of elements, which…is a very loaded question, because you're right. We're kind of the last of the group to kind of present our earnings results, and you’ve had an earful from everyone telling you something, so it will not be very different. We'll tell you what we think.
So look, the model has changed already. There's no way back, and the people who will consistently say that A—nothing changed—or are we going to continue to build the large size of the team and the more people you have is merrier, will probably face some challenges, especially of the large size. Now, I've been saying that for a long time, and it actually works for Grid Dynamics’ benefit. We're not only a technology-driven company and innovation-driven company—we are a nimble company.
You know, our size is fairly optimized. Obviously, there's a place for growth. We're not having any managed services. We're not having some very low-end contracts and some contracts which were not as progressive or technology contribution, migration, all this fashion, they are falling off. And that's why you see this kind of changing of the order in both ways. But where we see our model, and I hope Vasily will give you again a few examples, is that it's going to be a combination. So, it's not the perishable goods of quality engineering. It's a combination of capabilities, trained people, and the solutions we have in advance of customer needs, understanding the marketability.
We continue to play our role with the partnerships. We understand, deeply, several key areas and you can’t be an expert in everything. You try to be expert in everything, then you have a very , kind of a, shallow knowledge, and you're gonna struggle because you have to fill them all. The bets need to be a bit concentrated, even though diversified.
So where I see it's kind of a…it's a middle ground. One thing which I give you a clear… again, as my input may be a little bit different from others, but it kind of resonates with our clients very well. The definition of the senior engineer has changed. So, traditionally, the word senior engineer means the person with many years of experience. Maybe less hair. But today, the definition of the senior engineer means relevancy of the technology competence.
And the foundational acumen around their own DNA been in the modern age of AI technology. So the age limit changes. But what really changes is the depth of the knowledge of people. So the focus of
Grid Dynamics will continue to be supporting the intelligence of internship programs, Grid Dynamics
University training, Grid Labs training, combination that these fellows also contribute to building our own tools. So then they can become much more productive with the clients.
So summarizing my part is that somewhere in the middle ground, we're bringing the new era of the senior engineering, the talent combined with the tooling in a modern world of solving customer problems faster, more efficient, and combining three elements: people, industry tools, and our own platforms. And with that, Vasily, maybe you'll add some comments.
Vasily Sizov, Senior Vice President, Head of Americas:
Yeah, just a few comments. Imagine if the customer has a project, let's say, which is provided as a bid for a fixed price, and you come and bid for that. Let's say with a pricing 25% to 35% lower than otherwise, it would be delivered with a traditional workforce in the T&M manner, let's say, or like just at regular fixed price with the regular engineers. But actually, you have the productivity 35 to 45% higher.
So, that's the clear path for improvements of the profitability. But how you do that? You implement certain SDLC new processes on how you develop the software. You deploy a special team, which is very well trained.
You introduce certain artifacts and assets, which would understand or would fit the vertical we are working in. Also, understand the coding policies, all the existing code base in session, which would help developers to work…to deliver higher productivity. And that's essentially, like on the high level, what the GAIN model and what…the path Grid Dynamics is going with. Essentially, verticalized solutions, high-performance teams, very well-educated engineers on modern technology, and delivering outcome and output-based engagement.
Logan Schuh, Analyst, Jefferies:
Great. Thank you. That was very clear. And then I wanted to ask about the partnerships. I know they were 19% of revenues were partner-influenced. I just wanted to kind of get a sense of how those partnerships have evolved over time, maybe how you see them evolving in the future.
Leonard Livschitz, Chief Executive Officer:
Okay, so the person who is responsible for partnerships, we will bring him in next time. It's Rahul
Bindlish. And that's why we're looking…what are we going to say on partnership, right? Thank you for asking this question last, because it's actually a very vital part of our growth.
You know when a few years ago, we started talking about one partnership. We were basically exploring what it means to Grid Dynamics. And starting with Google, it was great. I mean, we have a great experience. We have a great partnership. We have a great positioning of understanding of their modern tools, collaboration. We have matured significantly ever since. So when we talk about the influenced revenue, we're talking about our positioning, where we not only contribute to the value of the clients which utilize solutions from our clients and solutions talk about cloud solutions or their modern large language models, or the features.
But the elements associated
how we are adding our layers, our technology know-hows, our technology platforms on top of their offering, which helps them to penetrate customers faster and helps us to understand earlier what their growth is going to be. Seeing that, we also started to contribute more efficiently to their own developments, of their own products, which is very critical, because that's how it drives our business, not only having our partners, our vehicle for growth within industry. But there's the growing clients themselves. So from there, we pretty much covered all the hyperscalers.
And that's great, because it means the customer has a value with Grid Dynamics to get a bespoke solution for the best fit for everyone. And this is good, because ultimately not every offering fits at all, and we are very comfortable to be really good friends with the clients and fair partners, with our major hyperscalers. On top of it, we're adding more meaningful partnerships. And perhaps Eugene can make one of the notable ones, because I think it actually gives us a little bit more advantage to fill the gaps on a fast-growing AI implementations where the big guys allow a bit more flexibility for some specialized programs to step in.
And since it's going to be, probably, the last time I speak, because Eugene will wrap it up for you, I just want to say one thing which is important, I think, for everyone. It’s going to be a good year. We believe in Grid Dynamics. We are having strong and growing team. And I really count on you guys, believe in us, as we do in ourselves. So thank you with that. And Eugene, please wrap it up.
Eugene Steinberg, Chief Technology Officer:
Yes, thank you. And this is a great question. And indeed we, as Leonard said, we are helping many of our partners to build value-add components and penetrate new customers and new industries. One notable example is, for example, our partnership with Temporal, which is a workflow management system at its core, very robust, very scalable, and very powerful.
And we applied the system at scale while building enterprise agentic AI platforms, which opened quite a lot of interesting opportunities for Temporal to grow into this sector, and we helped them to go into major accounts together. And now we enjoy a pretty good partnership as well.
Logan Schuh, Analyst, Jefferies:
Awesome. Thank you, guys!
Eugene Steinberg, Chief Technology Officer:
Thank you.
Cary Savas, Director, Branding & Communications:
Thank you, Logan. Ladies and gentlemen, this concludes the Q&A session for today. I’ll now pass it over to Leonard for closing comments.
Closing Comments
Leonard Livschitz, Chief Executive Officer:
This quarter we demonstrated that our AI-first transformation is delivering real, measurable value. We continue to upskill our talent and embed AI-driven efficiencies through platforms. By running our
AI-first operational models, we are proving the same value proposition we advocate for our clients.
We enter the next phase of our journey with a clear roadmap, a future-proofed workforce, and a steadfast commitment to delivering long-term value for our shareholders. Thank you, and we look forward to updating you on our continued progress.
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